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The List: How Iran Managed Access to the Strait of Hormuz and Where That System Broke Down

On the morning of April 18, 2026, the master of a crude oil tanker transiting the Strait of Hormuz broadcast a transmission that remains the clearest summary of what our observation window had documented over the preceding seven days: “You gave us clearance. You gave us clearance. We are second on the list.” Seventeen hours …

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Tanker freight behaviour diverges after the conflict shock

The conflict has triggered a sharp repricing across tanker freight, but the response has not been uniform. Crude and clean tankers both rallied as disruption risk centred on the Middle East Gulf forced charterers and owners to reassess exposure to the Strait of Hormuz. However, the underlying drivers are now diverging. Dirty freight is increasingly …

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BIMCO: Geopolitics, supply chains – and the human face of global trade

Events in the Middle East are once again reminding the world of a fundamental truth: global supply chains are not abstract systems. They are physical, exposed, and deeply intertwined with the wider world economy. Disruption in one region now reverberates rapidly across markets, industries and societies. Energy flows, commodity prices, inflationary pressures and trade routes …

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Dry Bulk Shipping: Australian Iron Ore Exports On the Rise

The dry bulk market has been supported from a further increase of Australian iron ore exports during the first quarter of 2026. In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Banchero Costa said that “2025 was another positive year for global seaborne iron ore trade. In Jan-Dec 2025, global loadings of iron ore increased by +3.5% y-o-y …

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The Strait After the Ceasefire. Seven Weeks of Data from the Gulf’s Only Maritime Exit

AXSMarine AIS-derived crossing data, collected continuously from 1 March through 21 April 2026, documents how the Strait of Hormuz has functioned – and who has been willing to use it – in the weeks since the conflict began. From Stillness to Structure When we published When the Gulf Went Still in early April, the defining …

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Need for “fair, commercial, commonsense reading” of awards

The case of Eagle Bulk Pte Ltd (now Star Bulk (Singapore) Pte Ltd) -v- Traxys North America LLC (MV Canary) [2026] EWHC 518 (Comm) highlights that challenges under s.68 of the Arbitration Act 1996 (1996 Act) to arbitration awards, on the ground of serious irregularity leading to substantial injustice, will only succeed in those relatively …

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